Friday, March 06, 2009

What Happens When Your Paycheck Comes from China

by Len Hart, The Existentialist Cowboy

In the 1930s, millions of Americans lost hope of getting a paycheck. Utterly disillusioned, Americans might have embraced full blown socialism. Now Americans may have no choice but to accede to the ownership of their country by China. Has there been another instance in history in which one nation has foreclosed upon another? Americans have two options: utter collapse or become slaves to your new Chinese landlords!

As the US emerged from the Great Depression, the 'right wing' was spooked as it often is and should be. The FBI considered 'It's a Wonderful Life' to be a subversive film because it "deliberately maligned the upper class" and demonstrated that "people who had money were mean and despicable characters". Aren't they?

Indeed, 'It's a Wonderful Life' was a subversive film. It threatened to subvert the lies and claptrap that is sold us by the Axis of Wall Street, K-Street and the GOP. 'It's a Wonderful Life' threatened to reveal the consequences of lies and perhaps worse the implications of truth about an entrenched establishment that is premised upon a pack of lies and propaganda. In the words of Albert Speer who should have known, the Third Reich was literally built upon 'meaningless platitudes'. The same is true of the US government, especially the fraudulent reigns of Ronald Reagan about which the right wing still lies. The truth about Reagan threatens the self-esteem of every stupid GOPPER and/or right wing knee-jerk who supported him and the Bush crime family.

A rational discussion of the Great Depression is still feared by the right wing because it will expose to the world the economic sand upon which is built their house of cards. The right wing and its willing culprits fear the implications of truth but cannot escape the consequences of their many lies.
The bad news in today’s jobs report is pervasive.
  • Private and government payrolls combined have shrunk for 14 straight months, and net job losses since the start of the recession total 4.4 million. (Private sector payrolls have shrunk by 4.6 million jobs over the same period.)
  • Job losses have averaged almost 650,000 a month over the last four months.
  • The official unemployment rate, which was 4.9 percent at the start of the recession in December 2007, reached 8.1 percent last month.
  • Other indicators show the breadth of labor market weakness. For example, the percentage of the population with a job (60.3 percent) has fallen to its lowest level since early 1986.
  • The Labor Department’s most comprehensive alternative unemployment rate measure — which includes people who want to work but are discouraged from looking and people working part time because they can’t find full-time jobs — stood at 14.8 percent in February, up 6.1 percentage points since the recession began and the highest level on record in data that go back to 1994.
  • Well over one-fifth (23.1 percent) of the 12.5 million unemployed have not been able to find a job despite looking for 27 weeks or more. (Regular unemployment insurance benefits typically run out after 26 weeks.)
For the recovery law to stem the tide of job losses and lay the groundwork for a strong recovery as quickly and effectively as possible, federal, state, and local governments have to get programs up and running quickly. In particular, states must use the money that Congress provided to them as intended so that it will have maximum effectiveness as stimulus.

--CBPP Economic Recovery Watch: Statement on February Employment Report

Right wing cheerleaders for 'laissez-faire' economics must be chagrined by recent 'Marxist' bailouts of so-called 'free enterprise'. As economists conduct post-mortems on the ongoing crash and dive, economists read the 'bones' left in the wake of the earlier 'crisis', the stock market crash of 1929.
However, in 1963, Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz transformed the debate about the Great Depression. That year saw the publication of their now-classic book, A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960. The Monetary History, the name by which the book is instantly recognized by any macro economist, examined in great detail the relationship between changes in the national money stock--whether determined by conscious policy or by more impersonal forces such as changes in the banking system--and changes in national income and prices.

--Ben S. Bernanke, The Federal Reserve Board, Money, Gold, and the Great Depression
What Bernanke fails to mention is that Friedman --despite his great reputation as a 'conservative' economist --leaned heavily upon the work of John Maynard Keynes in his analysis of the Great Depression. But, on the whole, he most certainly got it wrong.
[John Maynard] Keynes seemed to be the right man for the time as he was reflecting the increasingly common view that blamed the capitalists themselves for the situation. In the General Theory Keynes rejected the view that the boom-bust cycle was due to over-expansive government monetary policy and that the stubbornness of the Depression was due to government interference with market mechanisms. He labeled all economists who believed such views as “classical”—in other words, hopelessly out of touch with reality. Instead, Keynes proposed a “general theory” that he thought capable of explaining not only the good times but also the bad.

According to Keynes, what drives the economy is aggregate demand or aggregate expenditures. Aggregate demand can be broken down into three main components: personal consumption (C), private investment (I), and government expenditures (G). The relationship can be summed up with this formula: AD = C + I + G. If Aggregate Demand is strong, the economy will be strong. However, if Aggregate Demand falters, businesses will end up with large unsold inventories and will cut back on production to avoid surpluses in the future. As they cut back they will of course need fewer inputs—including labor—and high unemployment will result.

The culprit in this story, the element that throws the entire system out of whack, is private investment. Private investment consists of business expenditures on machines, buildings, factories, and so on. In other words, investment is capital formation. Keynes claimed that private investment is inherently unstable due to what he called the “animal spirits” of businessmen/capitalists. He believed that businessmen are ultimately irrational and prone to herd-like behavior. Like sheep that blindly follow other sheep in the herd, it is easy for businessmen to become “irrationally exuberant”—as well as irrationally lethargic. Investment lethargy would trigger a large decrease in private investment, thus decreasing aggregate expenditures and triggering an economic downturn.

--Ivan Pongracic, Jr, The Great Depression According to Milton Friedman
In the motion picture 'It's a Wonderful Life', George Baily represents the 'private investment' part of the Keynes' equation. Had he jumped off the bridge, the picture of Bedford Falls as "Pottersville" might have come true. This is a picture of wealth benefiting the community. Potter, by contrast, represents the Axis of Wall Street/K-Street/GOP. This is wealth 'trickling up' by way of Reaganesque tax cuts that benefit only the ruling elite. Contrary to the lies with which this scheme is sold, this is wealth that finds its way to 'offshore' tax havens where it does not and cannot benefit the people of the United States by way of jobs or opportunities.

Here's how the model works. Unfair tax cuts are a windfall to rich elites. Despite the sales pitch, this 'windfall' is not re-invested in ways that will create new jobs or higher wages. The 'windfall' is instead invested offshore, in tax havens where it is forever lost to US consumers who might have used it to invest in better housing or in goods that are still manufactured in the US. Even if the consumer should decide to 'save' his windfall, the chances are good that his domestic 'bank' will sell his 'paper' to a larger institution and eventually offshore. Briefly, tax cuts benefiting only the nation's increasingly tiny elite are forever lost to domestic investment or domestic spending. These are dollars that are effectively removed from the economy. This is, in fact, a mechanism by which the supply of money contracts. Another word for it is 'depression'. All the official records, charts and data analyses prove that following every GOP tax cut is a recession/depression. Now you know why!
More than 83 corporations have offshore subsidiaries where their funds are protected in tax havens in the Caymen islands such as: The Bank of America, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, AIG, JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and even Pepsi and General Motors who received 13.4 billion have hundreds of millions of dollars in tax havens offshore. All these corporations receive protection from paying the US government their taxes and the loss to the US is into the 100 billion dollars of lost tax revenue.

Senator Carl Levin a democrat from Michigan and Byron Dorgan, Democrat of North Dakota requested the report to be released and are pushing for new laws prohibiting these bailout scam corporations from being tax dodgers while asking for bailouts from the taxpayer.

The Government Accounting Office includes 63 of the 100 largest contractors who receive government contracts also have accounts in tax haven countries.

--Bailout Corporation Tax Havens in Caymen Islands
I see a Pottersville whenever I see Wal-Mart put the locals out of business. It required an intervening angel to save Bedford Falls from its fate at the hands of a greedy banker. Like John Maynard Keynes, we wonder: who will save "capitalism from itself”? Where is our guardian angel?
Her aim was to convince China to keep investing its foreign exchange reserves in US treasury securities in order to help finance the bailout of failing US banks and pay for the $787 billion US stimulus package. The US treasury has indicated it must raise nearly $500 billion in the first quarter of this year alone.

In an interview on China's Dragon TV just before concluding her trip and returning to Washington Sunday, Clinton warned that if the US economy collapsed China would pay a steep price as well. "It would not be in China's interest if we were unable to get our economy moving," she told her interviewer.

"Our economies are so intertwined," she said on the talk show. "The Chinese know that in order to start exporting again to its biggest market ... the United States has to take some drastic measures with the stimulus package. We have to incur more debt."

Clinton added, "We are truly going to rise or fall together. By continuing to support American treasury instruments, the Chinese are recognizing our interconnection."

--Hillary Clinton presses China to keep buying US debt
It would appear then that America's only hope in the short term is that it continue to export American jobs and industries as it has done since Richard Nixon and the Bushes sold us all out to China. If what Hilary says is true, then --once again --the American labor movement will have to suck up the many harms that were in fact perped by the crooks on Wall Street, K-Street and 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue. It would appear that once again the weight of the US economy must be borne by the class of productive Americans who have been screwed silly by the Republican party and their legions of paid liars. If Hilary is correct, then In the longer term, we will have been owned lock, stock and barrel by China, the FOX Broadcasting/Wal-Mart of countries, the country that willingly made a Faustian pact with the Axis of Nixon/Bush/Bush. I simply must ask you: how do you feel about slaving away your life for waqes that will ultimately come from the nation that annexed Tibet, a nation in which there is most certainly no pictograph for 'human rights'?

While there are many analogies to be made with the Great Depression of 1929, the lessons themselves have obviously been missed. The right wing, for example, will never admit that their policies were simply dead wrong and incompetent. The Democrats will never admit that they might have effectively opposed the GOPs Four Horsemen of Economic Apocalypse. While even Nixon famously said 'We are all Keynesians now', the lessons of Keynes may never have been heeded and less so since the US entered into its faustian bargain with our new landlords --China.
It seems an extraordinary imbecility that this wonderful outburst of productive energy [over 1924-1929] should be the prelude to impoverishment and depression. Some austere and puritanical souls regard it both as an inevitable and a desirable nemesis on so much over expansion, as they call it; a nemesis on man's speculative spirit. It would, they feel, be a victory for the mammon of unrighteousness if so much prosperity was not subsequently balanced by universal bankruptcy. We need, they say, what they politely call a 'prolonged liquidation' to put us right. The liquidation, they tell us, is not yet complete. But in time it will be. And when sufficient time has elapsed for the completion of the liquidation, all will be well with us again.

I do not take this view. I find the explanation of the current business losses, of the reduction in output, and of the unemployment which necessarily ensues on this not in the high level of investment which was proceeding up to the spring of 1929, but in the subsequent cessation of this investment. I see no hope of a recovery except in a revival of the high level of investment. And I do not understand how universal bankruptcy can do any good or bring us nearer to prosperity... [p. 349].

While some part of the investment which was going on in the world at large was doubtless ill judged and unfruitful, there can, I think, be no doubt that the world was enormously enriched by the constructions of the quinquennium from 1925 to 1929; its wealth increased in these five years by as much as in any other ten or twenty years of its history... [p. 347].

Doubtless, as was inevitable in a period of such rapid changes, the rate of growth of some individual commodities [over 1924-1929] could not always be in just the appropriate relation to that of others. But, on the whole, I see few signs of any serious want of balance such as is alleged by some authorities. The rates of growth [of different sectors] seem to me, looking back, to have been in as good a balance as one could have expected them to be. A few more quinquennia of equal activity might, indeed, have brought us near to the economic Eldorado where all our reasonable economic needs would be satisfied... [pp. 347-48].>

--John Maynard Keynes, The General Theory and After: Part I, Preparation; Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, vol. 13, pt. 1, Donald Moggridge, ed., (Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press).
There is in America, then, a ruling class that willingly and knowingly lies to you not because they don't know the truth but because they do. This 'class' will never face up to the truth about tax cuts from which they alone benefited. This 'class' will forever blame others for a collapse that is well under way. This class denies the implications of the truth and in vain tries to avoid the consequences of their lies.


It's a Wonderful Life

A hat-tip to Crooks and Liars for the following vid and comment:

I found this clip this morning and thought I'd share it here at C&L. The clip is from 1990 when a much younger Rush Limbaugh got owned by the studio audience during his very brief career in television. The crowd eventually becomes so incensed by his nasty attacks on women that he can't get a word in edgewise and they are forced to clear the studio in order for Rush to actually finish the segment.

Rush has challenged President Obama to a debate, but only because he knows there isn't a hope in hell it will ever happen. He knows he wouldn't stand a chance, but that's not going to stop him from rallying his ignorant minions. He cares nothing for his party, this nation or its people, he's out for power,money and fame -- much like the party he now leads.

--Flashback: Limbaugh Gets Pwned By Studio Audience


Media Conglomerates, Mergers, Concentration of Ownership, Global Issues, Updated: January 02, 2009

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12 comments:

Omyma said...

This is one of the most significant facts of the continuing economic meltdown, and nobody seems to want to face it. That China is buying - literally - the U.S. is a blatant fact - who's picking up all that devalued real estate in places like NYC? - but that we are sitting around encouraging it, and nobody's accountable, is horrifying. Great post.

Len Hart said...

Omyma sez...

hat China is buying - literally - the U.S. is a blatant fact - who's picking up all that devalued real estate in places like NYC?

I trace this Faustian bargan to Bush Sr's trip to China in advance of and in preparation for Nixon's famous trip to the Forbidden City in the 1970s. It was amid much pomp and ceremony that American 'markets' were opened up to China. What else was sold by the axis of Bush/Reagan/Nixon? Our very souls!

Anonymous said...

Len, is does go back to Nixon, and Bush. i did not realize Bush went to China to pave the way for Nixon. Thank you for sharing this fact.

They need to stop spending, a variety of economics say we must do this or it may very well make matters worse.

Our banks are filled with these derivatives that are garbage.

You are right Len, this was planned many years ago. By This group. They did not over throw our country in 1933, but I feel they are closing in on us now.

They are close, very close I fear to their one world government.

Diane B

Len Hart said...

Anonymous said...

You are right Len, this was planned many years ago. By This group. They did not over throw our country in 1933, but I feel they are closing in on us now.

It would appear that they have us just where they want us. China cannot say NO to picking up our debt! Else --who would they sell their crap to? Sad fact is --their CRAP has put millions of Americans out of jobs and careers since 1980.

But guess who makes out like the bandits they are! I don't think I have to tell you.

SadButTrue said...

One thing that seems to have emerged as fact early in the Obama administration. While portrayed as a problem solver, when a choice must be made whether to solve a problem or preserve the status quo, he seems to prefer the latter. America can either pull itself out of the Bush-dug shit-hole or continue to protect the privileges of corporate Lairds. Not both.

PNS said...

Dear Cowboy: that link to my article has moved, I no longer host it on blogger.com

For the new Politicol News site please refer to:

http://PoliticolNews.com

thanks for the link

PNS.

thepoetryman said...

We need end this slide relatively soon or there will be nothing left to buy with.

Len Hart said...

thepoetryman said...

We need end this slide relatively soon or there will be nothing left to buy ...

I hate depressions but not because I am a fan of Wall Street! If Wall Streeters --especially the insiders who are now DARING TO PRETEND that they are defending small investors --were all rounded up and herded off a fuckin' cliff, I would not shed a tear.

What is most tragic about this crash is that all the WRONG people are victimized. If it were not for this fact, I would say simply let the damn house of cards fall. A new broom sweeps clean.

Len Hart said...

Did I ever mention how much I despise CNN. I despise the CNN brainwash machine almost as much as FOX.

Here's just one reason. The CNN 'depression coverage' I'm hearing over the last several days consists of self-appointed economists and sellers of POP BIZ GET RICH books and/or syndicated columns. You know who I mean. One asshole has the nerve to tell people who are now living in Tent Cities that NOW IS A GREAT TIME for them go get a bargain on buying an office building or putting up their own skyscraper!

Hey ....let'em eat cake!

Len Hart said...

I forgot the other JEWEL OF WISDOM from the instant economic experts on CNN: if your budget is tight because of the 'recession', when you go to the supermarket: 1) put all your lose change in coinstar; 2) only buy from the top shelves and the bottom shelf 'cause that's where the less expensive gourmet products are found.

There is not only an ECONOMIC DEPRESSION, the US --CNN SPECIFICALLY --are victims of a BRAIN CELL DEPRESSION.

Fuckin idiots!

CNN'S PROBABLE REBUTAL TO ME: "Hey those discounts on caviar really add up if you buy enough of them!"

AdamS said...

Now (or soon) is indeed a great time to buy infastructure, whether or not homeless people were being teased with that prospect.

The bankers crash the economy, then demand bailouts, then low and behold! - they are the only people with liquidity to buy up all the infastructure at knockdown prices.

1929, 2009...rinse and repeat.

dr. rev. jeremy taylor's kids said...

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